N verur a halda haus, og hindra rkisstjrnina v, a troa gamla Icesave samningnum koki okkur, me "detail" lagfringum!

etta er sennilega trlegasta samsafn leiinda lis, sem safnast hefur nokkra rkisstjrn okkar gervallri lveldissgu.

Eins og allir vita, sem e-h fylgjast me frttum, hefur komi ntt samningstilbo fr Bretum og Hollendingum. Skv. v, virist sem a Hollendingar og Bretar, tli a fullkomlega a leia hj sr, mlatlbna nrrar samninganefndar, sem skipu var eftir samkomulag milli stjrnar og stjrnarandstu.

Funda um Icesave Lundnum

15.2.2010

Frttatilkynning nr. 5/2010

Samninganefnd slenskra stjrnvalda tti dag fund me fulltrum breskra og hollenskra stjrnvalda Lundnum. fundinum kynnti samninganefndin tillgur til lausnar Icesave-mlsins, sem byggja samkomulagi stjrnar- og stjrnarandstuflokka Alingi.

Fyrir samninganefndinni fer bandarski lgfringurinn Lee Buchheit. Auk hans skipa nefndina Gumundur rnason og Einar Gunnarsson, runeytisstjrar fjrmlaruneytis og utanrkisruneytis, samt Jhannesi Karli Sveinssyni lgmanni og Lrusi Blndal lgmanni, sem tilnefndur er af stjrnarandstuflokkunum sameiginlega. eim til rgjafar eru Don Johnston, fyrrverandi framkvmdastjri OECD, auk srfringa rgjafarfyrirtkisins Hawkpoint og lgfristofunnar Ashurst.

Ailar eru framhaldi af fundinum a meta stuna.

Fjrmlaruneytinu, 15. febrar 201

Ef einhver man eftir, var s stefna tekin, eftir langa fundi milli formanna stjrnmlaflokkanna, a skipa essa nju samninganefnd sameiginlega.

Hn fr af sta me allt ara hugmynd, .e. a greislur til Breta og Hollendinga, myndu fyrst og fremst, byggja eignum rotabs Lanfsbanka slands. A sland myndi ekki taka nein n ln, til a ganga fr Icesave. TIF myndi f forgang eignir Landsbanka slands, og ef afgangur myndi vera, fengju Bretar og Hollendingar a ra v, hva vri gert vi ann afgang.

annig, a .e. ekki undarlegt, a Sigmundur Dav, bregist forvia vi. Segi ennan nja mlatilbna Breta og Hollendinga, ekki samrmi vi .s. hefi veri rtt undanfarna daga. A auki, er vart a undra, a hann s ekki heldur, uppnmur fyrir eim tillgum.

Sjlfsagt, tti ekki heldur a koma okkur vart, hegun rkisstjrnarinnr, .e. hugmyndir Breta og Hollendinga, sagar athyglisverar - til bta - a essi breyting sem boi er, geti reynst slandi hagst - san er fram suaa a klra veri Icesave - a mikil htta s fyrir hendi ef lausn Iceave haldi fram a dragast.

Grein Financial Times:

Iceland wins softer repayment terms

S hugsun sem br a baki hj talsmnnum rkisstjrnarinnar, kemur mjg vel fram, leyniskjali bandar. sendirsins sem leki var me einhverjum htti fjlmila

LOOKING FOR ALTERNATIVES TO AN ICESAVE REFERENDUM
1. (C) Summary. CDA met with Ministry of Foreign Affairs Permanent
Secretary Einar Gunnarsson and Political Advisor Kristjan Guy Burgess
January 12 to discuss Icesave. After presenting a gloomy picture
of Iceland's future, the two officials asked for U.S. support. They
said that public comments of support from the U.S. or assistance in
getting the issue on the IMF agenda would be very much appreciated. They
further said that they did not want to see the matter go to a national
referendum and that they were exploring other options for resolving the
issue. The British Ambassador told CDA separately that he, as well as the
Ministry of Finance, were also looking at options that would forestall
a referendum. End Summary.

2. (C) CDA met with Permanent Secretary Einar Gunnarsson and Political
Advisor Kristjan Guy Burgess at the Icelandic Ministry of Foreign Affairs
on January 12 for a two hour marathon meeting to discuss Icesave. The
Icelandic officials painted a very gloomy picture for Iceland's
future.
They suggested that the most likely outcome for the country
was that the Icesave issue would fail in a national referendum. Should
that occur, they suggested, Iceland would be back to square one with
the British and the Dutch. The country, however, would be much worse
off because it would have lost international credibility and access to
financial markets.
Gunnarsson suggested that the Icesave issue, if it
continues along its present course, would cause Iceland to default in 2011
when a number of loans become due and could set Iceland back 30 years.


3. (C) The two government officials stressed that Iceland needs
international support. CDA reiterated that the United States was neutral
on this bilateral issue and hoped for a speedy resolution. Moreover,
the U.S. had supported Iceland's position at the last IMF Review and
expected to do so again depending on the circumstances.
Gunnarsson and
Burgess responded that they understood the United States' stated position
of neutrality on the issue; however, they expressed the view that it
was impossible to remain neutral regarding the Icesave matter. Iceland,
they said, was being bullied by two much larger powers and a position
of neutrality was tantamount to watching the bullying take place. They
suggested that a public statement from the U.S. in support of Iceland
would be very helpful. They also felt that U.S. intervention in the
IMF could be of assistance, specifically if it was targeted at getting
Iceland's review placed on the IMF agenda. Gunnarsson acknowledged that
U.S. support during the review was appreciated but, realistically,
the issue would never make it on the agenda unless external pressure
was applied on the IMF.

4. (C) Gunnarsson and Burgess were extremely pessimistic regarding
the national referendum and said that the Government of Iceland was
exploring other options to resolve the Icesave situation
.
They hinted
that renegotiation might be a viable alternative and referenced recent
meetings between the government and the opposition at which this option
was discussed. Everyone could potentially save face, they suggested,
if a new repayment agreement was reached with the British and Dutch that
could possibly include a lower interest rate for the loan.
This solution,
they felt, would be palatable to the Icelandic people and potentially
to the opposition as well.
They did not know, however, whether the
British and Dutch would agree to another round of negotiations. They
also acknowledged that any new agreement would have to be approved in
parliament and, of course, signed by the president.
g held a eftirfarandi s hugaverast  essu skjali, .e.:
"the Government of Iceland was exploring other options to resolve the Icesave situation"
Vandinn hefur veri, og enn er, s bjargfasta tr rkisstjrnar lia a allt 
fari til fjandans ef ekki er gengi fr Icesave samkomulagi, skv. v sem Bretar
og Hollendingar vilja - sbr. fullyringuna a greislurot myndi fra sland aftur
um 30 r. 
Mr snist flest benda til, a s tr s heiarleg, .e. hn s meint
 flustu alvru.
.s. mr grunar, er a rkisstjrnin hafi veri allan tmann, a semja vi 
Breta og Hollendinga, n vitneskju hinnar nju samninganefndar, og sennilega 
komi hi nja svokallaa tspil Breta og Hollendinga, eim nkvmlega ekkert 
 vart.
En hafa ber  huga, a san lafur Ragnar sagi "Nei" - hafa ailar innan 
stjrnarflokkanna einmitt veri a tala  eim ntum, a reyna a f fram 
hagstari samninga um vaxtattinn. 
San allt  einu, koma Bretar og Hollendingar, me ntt tspil 
akkrat beint a vaxtattinum. g held, a arna s vart um 
tilviljun a ra. 
a hafi me rum orum, aldrei veri neinn heiarleiki af hlfu 
stjrnarlia,  eirra fundum vi forystumenn stjrnarandstu,  
umrum um n samnings markmi. vert  mti, hafi um sjnarspil 
veri a ra, mean andstaan hlt a loks vri veri a hleypa 
eim a bori, hafi rkisstjrnin allan tmann veri a ra vi 
Hollendinga og Breta.
a hafi veri virurnar er skiptu mli. N er rkisstjrnin 
sjlfsagt, a reyna a f forystumenn stjrnarandstu, til a stta
sig  vi orinn hlut, .e. a n hafi eir fengi a soreyta sig og 
a hafi ekki gengi. Rkisstjrnin vonist til a eir sji ekki  
gegnum etta, a rkisstjrnin hafi veri a vinna allan tmann
gegn nju saminganefndinni og  reynd, veri  sama tma a semja 
vi Breta og Hollendinga. 
g vona heitt og innilega, a Sigmundur Dav og Bjarni Ben.
haldi haus, en eins og sst ef frtt Visi.is er lesin, 
 leggur Jhanna hfuherslu  a n samkomulagi vi Breta og 
Hollendinga fyrir jaratkvagreislu. Me rum orum, 
plan stjrnarflokkanna er a hn fari ekki fram.
Vonar a samkomulag takist fyrir jaratkvagreislu
En vert ofan  .s. stjrnarliar halda,  styrkir jaratkvagreislan
samningsstu slands. Einhvern veginn,  snum kjna gangi, virast stjrnarliar
halda hi gangsta. eir virkilega halda a ef samstaa jarinnar gegn samingnum, 
kemur fram a  versni samingsstaan. 
.e. v algert grundvallar atrii, einmitt, a halda essa 
jaratkvagreislu og f fram skrt "NEI" fr sem allra 
strstum meirihluta jarinnar, smant sem allra bestri ttku
kjsenda, annig a a fari ekki neitt  milli mla, a jin 
vill ekki ennan samning. 
Me slkt skrt "NEI"  farteskinu,  stendur saminganefn slands 
miklu mun betur a vgi.
Menn meiga ekki gleyma v, a Evrpusambandi sjlft, leggur t mjg rka 
herlsu , a lrisumbtur su gera  eim lndum, sem skja inngngu - 
ef eitthva ykir  vanta. Sem dmi fkk Blgara  snum tma umvandanir 
og urfti a framkvma msar lagfringar  snu stjrnarkerfi. 
jir Evrpu  dag, hafa tilhneygingu til a lta  sig, sem nokkurs konar mipunkt 
lris  heiminum. etta er eirra eigin sn. etta er vert a hafa  huga, .s. st  
lri og lausnum byggum  lri,  skv. essu a vera  hvegum. etta er einmitt 
stan fyrir v, a Bretar og Hollendingar, vilja semja fyrir jaratkvagreislu 
v a liti svo miklu verr t, gagnvart sn annarra Evrpujar  essarri deilu, 
a ef Bretar og Hollendingar hefu framgngu um seinna meir, um a leia hj sr 
skra byrtingamynd lrislegs vilja hrlendis - .e. troslu  lri. 
En rkisstjrnin, er lst inni  einhverju ranghugsanamtvi, .s. llu er sni  haus. 
Eina leiin, .s. engin lei virist vera til a koma vit fyrir rkisstjrnina, er a 
standa fast  mti, eins og umlii r, og lta jaratkvagreisluna fara fram.
a m alls ekki gerstas, a einhvers konar pank samingi, s hleypt  gegn, 
fyrir atkvagreislu. a myndi vera mjg alvarlegt skot,  okkar eigin 
lappir slendinga.
Kv. 

Sasta frsla | Nsta frsla

Athugasemdir

1 Smmynd: lafur Ingi Hrlfsson

Bestu akkir fyrir frbra samantekt -

KJSUM STRAX - STNDUM SAMAN - SEGJUM NEI NEI NEI

v fleiri sem kjsa nna - v erfiara fyrir stjrnina a bulla miki meira.

lafur Ingi Hrlfsson, 22.2.2010 kl. 10:14

2 Smmynd: Hrlfur  Hraundal

Fyrst okkur bar ekki gfa til annars en Qvislinga til a gta hagsmuna okkar gagnvart Bretum, er rtt fyrir allt okkar drmti tmi a vinna me okkur.

Bretar hfnuu samningi sem var eim mjg gur, svo a a er eingin sta til a vera a elta frekar, heldur taka saman viturra manna r og rk varandi etta ml.

ESB og AGS arf a krefja svara. Eftir 6 mars arf a velja til ess fundar menn sem geta stai upprttir og ora a horfa framan vimlendur sna.

Hrlfur Hraundal, 22.2.2010 kl. 11:28

Bta vi athugasemd

Nausynlegt er a skr sig inn til a setja inn athugasemd.

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Einar Björn Bjarnason

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Einar Björn Bjarnason
Einar Björn Bjarnason
Stjórnmála- og Evrópufræðingur. Áhugi á stjórnmálum, Evrópumálum, alþjóðamálum, málefnum Miðausturlanda, trúmálum, vísindum og tækni, og margt fleira.
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